Model Predictions
| Model | Samford Bulldogs | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.9% | 62.1% | +2.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Murray State Racers +10 (74-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.