Model Predictions
| Model | Nevada Wolf Pack | Southern Illinois Salukis | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (25.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis +25 (74-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 32 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 3 | - |
| M. Kemp | 31 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| J. McGee | 25 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 4 | - |
| L. Burleson | 22 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | - |
| B. Fields | 21 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| M. Cooke | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| M. LaGrone | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Ellis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mullins | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| T. Green | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| M. Shaw | 30 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Bone | 29 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Falker | 23 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | - |
| W. Clemmons | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Fay | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| T. Boyle | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Coopwood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Armstrong | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Cornelius | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter