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2008-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 67.1% 32.9% -
Bradley-Terry 50.6% 49.4% -
Margin 48.7% 51.3% +0.3 (3.3 off)
Pythagorean 80.4% 19.6% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.5% 6.5% -
Log Adjusted 93.6% 6.4% -

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Bassett 40 7-12 4-7 6-7 3 3 2 0 5 24 15 -
D.J. White 38 5-8 0-0 6-9 11 2 0 0 2 16 19 -
E. Gordon 38 2-6 1-5 13-16 3 3 0 1 3 18 16 -
J. Crawford 29 6-7 4-5 5-5 4 5 0 0 3 21 20 -
J. Ellis 22 0-4 0-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 0 -1 -
L. Stemler 21 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
K. Taber 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
D. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Thompson 40 6-13 1-5 2-5 1 4 2 0 0 15 9 -
K. Coble 39 12-16 5-6 8-8 5 2 1 2 2 37 29 -
C. Moore 37 3-9 3-6 3-4 1 4 3 1 2 12 10 -
I. Peljusic 22 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 7 0 0 1 4 7 -
J. Okrzesik 17 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 5 2 -
J. Nash 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 0 4 -
S. Williams 15 2-3 0-1 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 6 4 -
N. Baran 13 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 3 2 -
M. Capocci 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter