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2008-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Georgia State Panthers Jacksonville State Gamecocks Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% -4.1 โœ“ (2.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Margin 69.3% 30.7% -4.5 โœ“ (2.5 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 76.8% 23.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“

Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -7 (78-85). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Georgia State Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Leonard Mendez 39 5-10 5-9 0-0 6 3 3 0 3 15 14 -
Michael Moynihan 29 3-10 2-5 8-10 1 2 1 0 6 16 4 -
Kevin Lott 25 4-6 2-2 3-5 7 2 0 0 1 13 15 -
D.J. Jones 23 3-6 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 0 0 8 9 -
Trae Goldston 21 1-7 0-5 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 4 4 -
Deven Dickerson 19 4-6 0-0 2-3 5 0 0 2 2 10 9 -
Jihad Ali 14 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 2 0 1 1 2 4 -
Ousman Krubally 13 4-4 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 2 12 10 -
Justin Billingslea 12 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Norman Mitchell 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jonathan Toles 37 5-10 2-5 11-12 3 3 1 0 3 23 17 -
DeAndre Bray 33 5-6 5-6 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 15 12 -
Will Ginn 33 3-7 2-5 2-2 2 4 0 0 2 10 7 -
Nick Murphy 30 2-4 0-0 1-3 5 1 2 1 3 5 7 -
Amadou Mbodji 25 3-10 1-1 0-4 6 2 0 2 3 7 4 -
Jeremy Bynum 19 3-7 3-7 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 11 8 -
J.R. Weathers 10 0-2 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 0 2 2 -
Erik Adams 8 0-2 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 1 0 -
Zack Winston 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Erwin Staten 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter