Model Predictions
| Model | Air Force Falcons | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.5% | 95.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 7.8% | 92.2% | +13.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.8% | 14.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -2 (59-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Air Force Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Anderson | 39 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| E. Washington | 37 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| A. Henke | 36 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | - |
| K. Maren | 31 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Johnson | 27 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - |
| M. Holland | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| E. Kenzik | 10 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A. Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walker | 36 | 5-13 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. McFarland | 33 | 4-9 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| S. Creason | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| W. Gardner | 24 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Nigon | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| J. Simmons | 21 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Woodard | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| D. Cohen | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| F. Clayman | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter