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2008-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Oregon State Beavers USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 8.6% 91.4% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.8 (24.2 off)
Pythagorean 2.5% 97.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: USC Trojans +28 (81-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones 27 6-15 3-7 0-0 5 0 1 1 1 15 6 -
S. Tarver 23 1-10 0-3 0-0 6 4 1 0 1 2 2 -
C. Haynes 22 5-9 0-2 0-0 2 3 3 0 1 10 8 -
R. Claitt 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 2 6 -
S. Carter 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
J. Tarver 19 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 2 0 4 3 0 -
C. Hampton 18 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
O. Johnson 17 3-8 2-4 0-2 5 0 0 0 2 8 3 -
L. Wallace 12 0-7 0-3 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 1 -4 -
R. Schaftenaar 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
J. McConnell 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Lewis 31 5-13 1-3 3-4 4 1 2 0 3 14 5 -
T. Gibson 28 3-6 0-0 6-8 6 3 1 4 2 12 18 -
D. Jefferson 26 2-5 0-2 4-4 7 2 1 1 3 8 11 -
O.J. Mayo 25 8-16 4-7 1-1 5 2 3 0 1 21 14 -
A. Johnson 25 4-5 4-5 1-2 3 3 2 0 2 13 14 -
R. Wetherell 17 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 3 4 -
R. Cromwell 16 0-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Simmons 16 2-3 0-0 0-2 5 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
K. Wilkinson 14 1-2 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
T. Green 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

* = starter