Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.5% | 3.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Cummard | 36 | 8-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J. Tavernari | 28 | 5-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| S. Burgess | 26 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| T. Plaisted | 24 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -1 | - |
| B. Murdock | 22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Fredette | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | - |
| C. Collinsworth | 16 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Miles | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Loyd Jr. | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wade | 38 | 10-16 | 0-1 | 8-14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 18 | - |
| B. White | 34 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| R. Amoroso | 32 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Davis | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R. Williams | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Thomas | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Johnson | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Lamb | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter