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2008-02-23

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 49.9% 50.1% -
Bradley-Terry 53.9% 46.1% -
Margin 56.8% 43.2% -1.5 (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 58.2% 41.8% -
Efficiency 96.5% 3.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.6% 20.4% -
Log Adjusted 79.6% 20.4% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Cummard 36 8-11 3-4 1-2 5 4 0 0 2 20 16 -
J. Tavernari 28 5-13 2-8 0-0 6 2 3 0 3 12 7 -
S. Burgess 26 4-5 3-4 0-0 5 4 1 0 2 11 14 -
T. Plaisted 24 3-10 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 -1 -
B. Murdock 22 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Fredette 20 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -2 -
C. Collinsworth 16 1-7 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 1 0 3 3 -
C. Miles 16 1-2 0-0 2-4 0 0 1 1 1 4 3 -
M. Loyd Jr. 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 4 4 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade 38 10-16 0-1 8-14 6 2 1 0 3 28 18 -
B. White 34 7-11 0-1 1-3 8 2 3 4 3 15 18 -
R. Amoroso 32 3-10 0-3 3-3 6 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
D.J. Gay 26 2-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 7 5 -
K. Davis 25 2-5 1-3 1-2 3 2 2 0 1 6 7 -
R. Williams 17 0-5 0-2 2-4 3 0 1 0 1 2 0 -
M. Thomas 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Johnson 7 0-2 0-0 0-1 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -
C. Lamb 4 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Pastorek 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter