Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.6% | 72.4% | +5.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx +11 (94-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 35 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 35 | 13-27 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 8 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 34 | 6-17 | 1-5 | 4-6 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| L. Willingham | 26 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Miller | 23 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 13 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Farris | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Y. Oga | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| W. Crockett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Augustus | 31 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| C. Wiggins | 30 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 10-12 | 3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 21 | - |
| A. DeForge | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Houston | 25 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| N. Anosike | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| N. Quinn | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Rasmussen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| V. Hayden-Johnson | 8 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| N. Ohlde | 5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| N. Moore | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter