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2008-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Columbia Lions Spread Result
Elo 28.3% 71.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 36.5% 63.5% +3.1 (18.1 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% -
Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.3% 19.7% -
Log Adjusted 80.7% 19.3% -

Actual: Columbia Lions -15 (52-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Sullivan 39 3-6 2-3 8-8 3 3 1 0 1 16 16 -
M. McAndrew 35 5-11 2-4 6-7 5 4 7 0 5 18 18 -
D. Huffman 31 5-9 2-4 4-7 4 2 1 0 2 16 12 -
C. Skrelja 26 2-3 0-0 5-6 8 1 1 1 2 9 15 -
M. Mullery 21 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 2 0 2 6 -
S. Friske 16 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 0 3 -
A. Williams 15 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
S. Gruber 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Taylor 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Kelly 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Aldridge 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
G. Leffelman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Kane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 34 4-10 0-1 1-3 8 0 0 0 2 9 5 -
N. Scott 33 9-17 5-11 1-2 6 2 1 0 3 24 13 -
K. Bulger 32 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 6 4 -
B. Loscalzo 27 1-6 1-6 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 -1 -
K.J. Matsui 20 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 -4 -
M. Montgomery 18 3-3 0-0 0-0 6 3 0 0 1 6 11 -
J. Bova 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Ampim 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
K. Sweet 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Nwachukwu 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Miller 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter