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2008-05-29

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Sparks Indiana Fever Spread Result
Elo 57.4% 42.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 55.7% 44.3% - โœ—
Margin 49.2% 50.8% +0.2 โœ“ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 61.3% 38.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 61.2% 38.8% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“

Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (82-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Sparks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Candace Parker 46 7-18 0-2 2-2 16 5 5 6 7 16 23 -
L. Leslie 43 9-23 0-1 1-1 9 2 3 4 4 19 10 -
M. Ferdinand-Harris 38 4-11 1-3 2-2 2 1 1 1 1 11 4 -
D. Milton-Jones 35 4-8 0-2 3-4 8 2 2 1 6 11 10 -
S. Bobbitt 26 4-8 0-2 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 8 5 -
T. Johnson 20 1-7 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 -2 -
M. Page 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Moore 9 2-5 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
K. Brown 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
S. Spencer 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Thomas 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. White 46 7-19 1-5 5-6 10 5 1 1 4 20 14 -
K. Douglas 46 9-27 2-8 5-7 4 1 2 2 5 25 2 -
T. Bevilaqua 44 2-7 1-3 0-1 5 5 4 3 1 5 14 -
E. Hoffman 42 5-10 0-0 0-0 11 2 1 3 2 10 15 -
B. Ngoyisa 25 7-8 0-0 0-1 9 0 2 2 6 14 13 -
T. Sutton-Brown 25 3-9 0-0 2-4 7 0 0 3 4 8 5 -
L. Bond 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Feaster 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Bales 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
K. Whittington 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter