Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.6% | 74.4% | +5.9 | ✓ (17.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +23 (87-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Powell * | 30 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -8 | - |
| Rebekkah Brunson * | 28 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 7-11 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kara Lawson * | 26 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Adrian Williams-Strong * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Laura Harper | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Crystal Kelly | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| A'Quonesia Franklin | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| La'Tangela Atkinson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kim Smith | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Charel Allen | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Whitmore * | 36 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Asjha Jones * | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 28 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 7-9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Amber Holt * | 21 | 7-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Kerri Gardin * | 15 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Barbara Turner | 24 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Jolene Anderson | 18 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Tamika Raymond | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jamie Carey | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Danielle Page | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ketia Swanier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter