Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. McGhee | 36 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -1 | - |
| J. Williams | 30 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| L. Leath | 28 | 3-16 | 1-6 | 5-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | -2 | - |
| C. Woods | 24 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| D. Thomas | 21 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Ferguson | 17 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Eller | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Davis | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| W. Aboubakar | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Schulte | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 31 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| N. Geiser | 30 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| K. Landry | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 21 | - |
| N. Larson | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| J. Bishop | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Johnson | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Z. Comagic | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Z. Filzen | 11 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| C. Jones | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Johannsen | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| G. Sharp | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter