Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers -7 (58-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kanaskie | 40 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 5-8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Yates | 38 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - |
| D. Green | 35 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| B. Gilchrest | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | - |
| D. Hair | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| T. Hudson | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Avery | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Rohnert | 40 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| A. Tanner | 35 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 11 | - |
| X. McNally | 34 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Jackson | 31 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - |
| K. Lewis | 31 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Lewis | 24 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| N. Peter-Denman | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter