Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Little Rock Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.1% | 74.9% | +6.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Little Rock Trojans +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.