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2008-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas State Red Wolves Little Rock Trojans Spread Result
Elo 61.4% 38.6% -
Bradley-Terry 37.1% 62.9% -
Margin 33.3% 66.7% +3.8 (11.2 off)

Actual: Little Rock Trojans +15 (66-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas State Red Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Morgan 34 3-8 0-0 4-6 9 2 2 0 2 10 13 -
A. Banks 30 5-11 1-5 3-4 2 1 0 0 3 14 3 -
R. Wedel 29 4-11 2-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 10 -2 -
Y. Chia-Kur 26 2-9 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 7 -1 -
K. Gant 25 4-7 0-0 0-1 6 2 0 0 3 8 6 -
I. Koggu 18 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
P.J. Keaton 15 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -
A. Farmer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
M. Lance 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Nutt 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -
L. Handy 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Edwards 29 5-11 0-1 0-2 10 2 1 0 0 10 12 -
M. Smith 28 5-9 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 2 1 12 13 -
B. Patterson 27 5-6 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 2 10 6 -
S. Moore 26 3-8 1-3 1-3 4 8 2 0 0 8 14 -
J. Fowler 25 3-5 0-0 2-4 6 2 3 0 2 8 12 -
M. Mouzy 14 3-5 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 4 -
T. Akins 14 2-6 1-4 2-2 3 4 1 0 0 7 9 -
D. Bails 11 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 6 2 -
D. Eggins 11 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 1 0 3 3 -
R. Moss 8 3-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 3 -
L. Malone 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Stewart 3 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
L. Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter