Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.4% | 79.6% | +7.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✗ (10.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -4 (83-87). Ratings: 2009 season-end ratings.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 37 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 35 | 10-19 | 2-5 | 8-8 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 26 | - |
| Swin Cash * | 29 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 25 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Sheryl Swoopes * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Katie Gearlds | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Tanisha Wright | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Shyra Ely-Gash | 11 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Ashley Robinson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kimberly Beck | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kelly Santos | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Diana Taurasi * | 35 | 9-21 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 7 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 33 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Cappie Pondexter * | 31 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 4 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Mazzante | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Barbara Farris | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Willnett Crockett | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Yuko Oga | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
* = starter