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2008-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Idaho State Bengals Spread Result
Elo 53.8% 46.2% -
Bradley-Terry 54.2% 45.8% -
Margin 46.1% 53.9% +0.9 (14.1 off)

Actual: Idaho State Bengals +15 (64-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Durham 35 3-9 3-8 0-0 1 0 1 1 2 9 1 -
D. Mbunga 32 5-8 0-0 2-5 8 1 0 4 3 12 14 -
C. Taylor 32 2-11 1-7 6-6 4 1 1 0 1 11 5 -
P. Friesen 24 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 0 1 -
B. Johnson 21 0-6 0-3 1-2 4 2 1 0 0 1 2 -
M. Davis 20 2-5 0-0 3-4 2 0 1 0 1 7 4 -
J. Hennessy 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 0 -
B. Howard 11 2-5 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
A. Zamora 11 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 4 4 -
N. Weidenaar 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Idaho State Bengals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Stucki 35 4-9 1-5 12-13 1 2 2 0 6 21 11 -
D. Carson 35 5-14 2-4 0-2 8 4 1 1 2 12 10 -
L. Kinghorn 30 4-8 2-2 3-4 13 2 1 1 0 13 22 -
A. Kilpatrick 28 2-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 1 1 5 3 -
L. Steijn 22 3-8 0-0 3-3 8 0 1 0 0 9 10 -
A. Morgan 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 0 -4 -
D. Monroe 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Tatum 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
T. Taylor 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. O'Brien 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Anderson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter