Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.5% | 49.5% | -0.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury -5 (94-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Parker | 38 | 12-19 | 2-2 | 8-16 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 34 | 36 | - |
| D. Milton-Jones | 35 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 9 | - |
| L. Leslie | 28 | 7-17 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| T. Johnson | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| M. Ferdinand-Harris | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Page | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| S. Spencer | 12 | 5-7 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| S. Bobbitt | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| K. Brown | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| C. Thomas | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Taurasi | 29 | 8-17 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| C. Pondexter | 29 | 11-27 | 4-8 | 6-9 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 15 | - |
| K. Miller | 28 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Farris | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Mazzante | 23 | 2-9 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Smith | 20 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| L. Willingham | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| W. Crockett | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Y. Oga | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
* = starter