Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.5% | 22.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +3 (76-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Tillema | 31 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| R. Fletcher | 29 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| R. Berry | 29 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| T. Evans | 28 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| M. Schachtner | 20 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C. Barkley | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| T. Cotton | 18 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Jackson | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| B. Perine | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Morris | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. Nelson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Davis | 38 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| J. Barber | 29 | 7-12 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| V. Sulskis | 27 | 8-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 14 | - |
| D. Holmes | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - |
| V. Cooksey | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Liles | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | - |
| M. Niemi | 17 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Johnson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| G. Cotal | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter