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2008-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Miami Hurricanes Spread Result
Elo 86.5% 13.5% -
Bradley-Terry 68.6% 31.4% -
Margin 72.9% 27.1% -5.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% -
Efficiency 83.4% 16.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.6% 26.4% -
Log Adjusted 73.6% 26.4% -

Actual: Miami Hurricanes +1 (96-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Nelson 35 8-14 3-7 0-2 10 2 3 0 6 19 14 -
J. Scheyer 31 7-13 5-9 8-9 3 5 3 0 3 27 22 -
G. Paulus 30 3-12 2-7 4-5 1 6 2 0 1 12 8 -
K. Singler 22 4-10 2-6 2-2 2 2 0 0 4 12 2 -
L. Thomas 22 3-3 0-0 4-6 3 0 1 0 1 10 10 -
G. Henderson 19 1-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 0 0 2 5 3 -
B. Zoubek 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 0 4 9 -
N. Smith 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -2 -
T. King 10 2-6 2-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
D. McClure 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -

Miami Hurricanes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McClinton 34 7-15 2-5 6-7 3 4 1 0 2 22 13 -
D. Collins 29 12-14 0-0 2-3 7 0 2 0 3 26 18 -
L. Hurdle 29 4-7 1-1 4-4 2 3 0 1 3 13 9 -
R. Hicks 25 3-4 0-0 0-2 5 1 3 0 2 6 9 -
B. Asbury 24 4-7 2-2 5-6 2 1 0 0 1 15 10 -
J. Dews 24 3-8 0-3 0-0 4 4 2 0 2 6 6 -
A. King 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 4 0 -2 -
J. Graham 11 0-0 0-0 2-4 4 1 2 1 2 2 8 -
E. Rios 9 2-4 2-3 0-2 1 2 0 0 2 6 3 -

* = starter