Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Dream | Phoenix Mercury | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (0.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Mercury +13 (97-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Dream
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lovelace | 24 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 5 | - |
| I. Latta | 16 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| T. Young | 14 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Lennox | 14 | 6-17 | 0-5 | 9-11 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 9 | - |
| K. Feenstra | 9 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| J. Ingram | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Little | 5 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | - |
| K. Haynie | 4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Strother | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Lacy | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mazzante | 20 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| A. Lewis | 18 | 2-13 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 0 | - |
| D. Carter | 16 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 3 | - |
| L. Owens | 16 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| T. Smith | 14 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| W. Crockett | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| L. Willingham | 6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| B. Smith | 5 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Farris | 3 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Taurasi | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter