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2008-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 27.8% 72.2% -
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% -
Margin 43.1% 56.9% +1.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% -
Efficiency 94.6% 5.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 91.3% 8.7% -
Log Adjusted 91.3% 8.7% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -14 (57-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Flowers 38 3-7 2-4 1-2 2 3 2 0 0 9 9 -
M. Landry 35 5-11 2-5 5-7 5 3 0 0 1 17 13 -
T. Hughes 35 6-11 1-2 5-6 1 1 2 0 2 18 9 -
J. Bohannon 26 4-7 2-2 5-5 2 0 0 0 0 15 10 -
J. Krabbenhoft 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 3 0 1 -
B. Butch 18 4-9 0-0 0-2 5 2 2 1 1 8 8 -
G. Stiemsma 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 4 6 -
T. Jarmusz 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
J. Leuer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Valentyn 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Nankivil 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bronson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Meacham 37 2-5 1-4 5-6 2 2 0 0 1 10 8 -
C. Frazier 36 1-3 1-2 3-6 13 1 2 0 4 6 15 -
D. McCamey 25 7-12 2-4 2-3 1 2 0 0 2 18 7 -
S. Pruitt 25 5-6 0-0 6-7 4 0 0 1 6 16 9 -
R. Alexander 23 0-4 0-3 1-2 5 0 0 0 3 1 -1 -
C. Brock 15 2-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 3 5 0 -
M. Davis 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Tisdale 11 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -
B. Randle 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Jordan 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Hicks 0 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter