Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 56.1% | 43.9% | -1.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -2 (47-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 33 | 2-14 | 2-8 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | - |
| B. Richardson | 32 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 29 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| E. Holloway | 26 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Slack | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 16 | - |
| S. Odzic | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Sampay | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | - |
| L. Dyer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Rubin | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ely | 37 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | - |
| K. Lacey | 35 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Couisnard | 33 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Granger | 28 | 6-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| N. Garner | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 16 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| V. Gomez | 15 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| T. Morrow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Gregory | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter