Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | ✗ (14.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies -8 (58-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Clark | 38 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| L. Keeler | 34 | 5-17 | 4-11 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | - |
| S. Lewis | 29 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| T. Shelton | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Vance | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - |
| M. Hanson | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| R. Higgins | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Anderson | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Manley | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Oliver | 39 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 17 | - |
| M. Payne | 38 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Carter | 38 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| D. Calegari | 32 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 16 | - |
| C. Portz | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Clark | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| K. Toth | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter