๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2008-05-10

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Fever Seattle Storm Spread Result
Elo 27.2% 72.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% - โœ“
Margin 26.3% 73.7% +5.7 โœ“ (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 32.6% 67.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“

Actual: Seattle Storm +11 (75-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Fever

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Terry 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
A. Bales 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
L. Selwyn 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 -
T. White 8 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -3 -
A. Feaster 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 5 2 -
A. Williams 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
L. Bond 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
C. Jinks 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
J. Humphrey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Newlin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Seattle Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Cash 9 2-4 0-0 2-4 0 1 1 0 1 6 3 -
T. Wright 8 0-3 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 0 2 1 -1 -
Y. Griffith 7 2-5 0-0 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 7 6 -
D. Kennedy 6 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
K. Santos 6 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
A. Robinson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Ely-Gash 4 0-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Beck 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. O'Neill 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
S. Swoopes 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Lewis 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
K. Gearlds 2 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
R. Hodges 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

* = starter