Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Mercury | Connecticut Sun | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.0% | 77.0% | +6.6 | ✓ (21.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Connecticut Sun +28 (94-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Mercury
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Derevjanik | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | - |
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Foley | 8 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Gahan | 6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 16 | - |
| C. Chambers | 6 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| N. Berglin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| C. Quaye | 4 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| K. Gardin | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Page | 2 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
* = starter