🐻⬇️🏀

San Diego State Aztecs 79
@
Wyoming Cowboys 68
2008-02-19

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 88.2% 11.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 59.9% 40.1% - ✓
Margin 60.1% 39.9% -2.2 ✓ (8.8 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 79.5% 20.5% - ✓
Log Adjusted 79.7% 20.3% - ✓

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys -11 (68-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wade 34 6-14 0-0 2-4 0 3 0 0 1 14 2 -
R. Amoroso 33 3-13 0-2 6-9 9 2 1 1 2 12 10 -
B. White 32 7-8 0-0 5-5 12 2 1 0 1 19 25 -
M. Thomas 26 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 1 1 2 9 -
R. Williams 23 4-9 0-3 5-6 2 2 3 0 2 13 9 -
D.J. Gay 22 4-8 3-5 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 11 5 -
K. Davis 16 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 4 5 -
J. Johnson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
J. Pastorek 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ewing 40 4-12 2-6 2-2 2 5 2 0 4 12 5 -
B. Jones 38 2-4 0-1 4-5 3 5 0 0 2 8 10 -
R. Dermody 35 4-8 4-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 2 14 8 -
T. Johnson 28 8-11 0-1 2-2 6 2 0 1 0 18 16 -
T. Nelson 19 2-5 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 1 3 8 2 -
M. Linskens 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 2 3 4 3 -
J. Taylor 15 1-2 0-1 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 4 10 -
E. Platt 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Bunker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter