Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | South Florida Bulls | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | -0.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.0% | 29.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: South Florida Bulls +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kurz | 0 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| L. Karcic | 0 | 5-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| M. Getty | 0 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| T. Grant | 0 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| S. Witman | 0 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
South Florida Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Sanders | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| P. Grant | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 15 | - |
| J. Sepulveda | 0 | 6-16 | 1-3 | 6-11 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 17 | - |
| S. Grace | 0 | 8-26 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 7 | - |
| C. Okpaleke | 0 | 7-16 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - |
* = starter