Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.8% | 83.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.7% | 13.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 100.0% | 0.0% | -42.6 | ✗ (55.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Stohl | 31 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -2 | - |
| K. Knutson | 30 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| N. Raivio | 25 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | - |
| T. Ito | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| S. Watson | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 | - |
| R. Smeulders | 23 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Sikma | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| E. Niedermeyer | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Hannibal | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Thompson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cavic | 38 | 6-11 | 6-9 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 22 | - |
| M. Strong | 36 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| V. Polakovic | 36 | 8-12 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| D. Lowhorn | 35 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| M. Quezada | 25 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Hadley | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Hernandez | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Taylor | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Morgan | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Brooks | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Zamorano | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter