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2008-02-18

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 54.4% 45.6% -2.0 โœ— (8.0 off)
Bradley-Terry 60.6% 39.4% - โœ—
Margin 58.5% 41.5% -1.9 โœ— (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 63.6% 36.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 63.4% 36.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 55.4% 44.6% - โœ—

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +6 (62-56). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Larry Williams 36 5-14 0-4 2-3 2 0 1 0 2 12 -1 -
Jarvis Gunter 33 1-4 0-0 0-3 11 1 3 1 3 2 11 -
William Byrd 32 6-10 1-2 2-3 8 1 0 0 3 15 11 -
Allen Smith 26 1-6 1-3 0-2 4 3 1 0 1 3 4 -
Timothy Hamilton 25 2-2 0-0 4-4 3 1 0 1 1 8 10 -
Rickey Parks 22 4-6 4-6 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 12 7 -
Marcelle Goins 18 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
George Davis 4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
Gavin Montgomery 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Cory Norman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Antonio Ootesey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Troy Jackson 38 4-9 2-6 2-2 0 2 3 0 1 12 7 -
Anthony Ford 36 6-13 1-4 3-4 6 1 1 0 1 16 10 -
Alex Owumi 36 6-12 2-7 2-3 7 2 0 0 1 16 12 -
Jarvis Williams 28 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 3 4 0 -
J. Kendrick 25 4-5 0-0 3-3 2 0 1 0 1 11 8 -
Ramando Lyons 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -
Anthony Searcy 7 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 1 5 -
Derrick Blackwell 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
Jumane Reed 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter