Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Colgate Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.2% | 48.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colgate Raiders -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Mercer | 40 | 7-12 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - |
| G. Carr | 40 | 7-15 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 8 | - |
| B. Gilmore | 31 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| B. Simon | 25 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| C. Guibunda | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Nichols | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Lay | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| F. Borden | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| F. Markusovic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Chones | 37 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 1 | - |
| K. Roemer | 34 | 8-16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 13 | - |
| D. Waddy | 33 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Venezia | 26 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| W. Morse | 20 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| B. Jonson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| T. Pounds | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| P. Minchella | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Vinson | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Woodhouse | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter