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2008-02-17

Model Predictions

Model American University Eagles Colgate Raiders Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% -
Bradley-Terry 46.9% 53.1% -
Margin 34.3% 65.7% +3.6 (11.6 off)
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -

Actual: Colgate Raiders -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

American University Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Mercer 40 7-12 2-3 2-4 1 3 2 0 0 18 12 -
G. Carr 40 7-15 6-12 4-4 3 0 1 0 5 24 8 -
B. Gilmore 31 2-5 2-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 2 6 6 -
B. Simon 25 2-4 1-3 1-2 4 2 2 0 3 6 7 -
C. Guibunda 18 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
J. Nichols 16 2-3 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
T. Lay 16 1-3 0-0 4-5 4 0 1 0 0 6 8 -
F. Borden 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
F. Markusovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Chones 37 4-8 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 10 1 -
K. Roemer 34 8-16 4-7 0-0 3 2 5 1 2 20 13 -
D. Waddy 33 3-9 0-2 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 7 6 -
M. Venezia 26 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 8 3 -
W. Morse 20 1-4 1-3 4-4 3 2 0 1 2 7 7 -
B. Jonson 16 2-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 1 1 6 8 -
T. Pounds 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
P. Minchella 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
T. Vinson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
A. Woodhouse 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter