Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +7 (59-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Byrd | 35 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Johnson | 35 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Kent | 33 | 5-16 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 3 | - |
| J. Amos | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Young | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | - |
| C. Bingham | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Lo | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Anyijong | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Perry | 35 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| A. Newell | 35 | 5-17 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| P. Stovall | 33 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| M. Goins | 29 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| R. McLemore | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Lampley | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| L. Frazier | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| D. Hinkley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter