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2008-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 82.9% 17.1% -
Bradley-Terry 80.1% 19.9% -
Margin 86.7% 13.3% -10.3 (23.3 off)
Pythagorean 64.4% 35.6% -
Efficiency 90.9% 9.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.2% 13.8% -
Log Adjusted 86.3% 13.7% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +13 (86-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Singler 31 6-10 2-6 3-4 6 3 1 1 5 17 13 -
G. Henderson 31 1-4 0-2 4-6 2 3 0 0 3 6 4 -
G. Paulus 31 3-9 1-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 7 1 -
D. Nelson 28 6-15 3-5 3-9 7 3 3 0 3 18 13 -
J. Scheyer 27 0-8 0-3 0-0 4 2 2 0 3 0 -3 -
N. Smith 18 8-12 2-5 3-4 3 0 1 0 2 21 11 -
L. Thomas 15 2-2 0-0 0-2 3 0 1 0 2 4 4 -
D. McClure 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
B. Zoubek 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. King 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Davidson 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Teague 36 7-15 3-3 9-13 4 1 2 0 3 26 15 -
J. Johnson 36 8-13 1-3 7-10 16 2 1 3 7 24 26 -
L.D. Williams 35 2-7 1-3 4-4 7 0 2 0 0 9 11 -
I. Smith 28 3-10 0-1 0-1 1 4 1 0 4 6 -2 -
J. Skeen 21 3-6 0-1 4-6 9 1 0 1 1 10 14 -
C. McFarland 15 2-6 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 2 1 5 4 -
H. Hale 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -
G. Clark 9 1-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
D. Weaver 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 1 2 4 -
C. Stanley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Waters 0 3-8 1-2 3-7 1 5 1 0 0 10 9 -
R. Preston 0 3-10 2-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 0 8 7 -
C. Groves 0 4-8 0-0 0-0 12 1 0 0 0 8 13 -
C. Morris 0 2-10 1-6 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 5 3 -
M. Valentine 0 1-6 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -

* = starter