Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (9.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.0% | 94.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +5 (87-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. McGhee | 36 | 8-11 | 6-6 | 8-8 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 30 | 21 | - |
| C. Woods | 35 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Williams | 30 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| L. Leath | 24 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | - |
| J. Eller | 20 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Davis | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| W. Aboubakar | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Young | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| D. Ferguson | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Schulte | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Taylor | 36 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 14 | - |
| C. Durham | 36 | 6-9 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 35 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 7 | - |
| P. Friesen | 27 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Davis | 24 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| B. Johnson | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Zamora | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Howard | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter