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2008-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 89.1% 10.9% -
Bradley-Terry 73.0% 27.0% -
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.6% 51.4% -
Efficiency 92.3% 7.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles -5 (74-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Singletary 36 5-10 2-3 4-4 5 4 1 0 1 16 15 -
M. Diane 35 6-12 3-5 5-6 4 1 0 0 2 20 11 -
M. Scott 29 5-11 1-2 0-2 12 1 2 0 1 11 14 -
C. Baker 24 1-4 1-3 4-4 2 5 0 0 3 7 7 -
J. Jones 21 1-7 0-1 2-2 2 4 0 1 1 4 3 -
L. Mikalauskas 18 6-7 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 1 2 13 9 -
A. Joseph 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 5 5 -
J. Tucker 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -
R. Pettinella 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rice 40 11-24 4-11 2-2 4 3 0 1 2 28 10 -
B. Paris 36 2-7 1-3 0-2 2 6 1 0 2 5 5 -
T. Blair 27 3-7 0-0 5-6 7 0 1 2 1 11 13 -
R. Sanders 26 3-9 1-4 1-2 5 3 0 1 2 8 6 -
S. Spears 24 2-3 0-0 6-8 4 0 3 0 1 10 13 -
J. Oates 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
C. Raji 18 3-5 0-0 1-3 3 4 1 0 0 7 10 -
J. Southern 7 2-3 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 5 1 -

* = starter