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2008-02-17

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 73.1% 26.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.0% 26.0% - โœ“
Margin 67.5% 32.5% -4.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 53.2% 46.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.6% 17.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.1% 39.9% - โœ“

Actual: USC Trojans -10 (46-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Westbrook 38 2-11 0-1 3-6 5 2 2 0 0 7 5 -
D. Collison 37 5-11 0-2 4-5 1 0 2 0 1 14 5 -
J. Shipp 36 2-7 0-2 4-4 4 2 2 0 2 8 7 -
L. Mbah a Moute 33 5-11 0-1 0-2 10 2 0 0 2 10 9 -
K. Love 30 5-14 2-4 1-4 11 2 5 2 2 13 17 -
L. Mata-Real 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
A. Aboya 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 1 -
J. Keefe 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gibson 40 7-8 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 5 3 16 24 -
O.J. Mayo 40 2-8 0-4 0-0 9 3 0 0 10 4 -2 -
A. Johnson 40 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 2 -3 -
D. Lewis 40 6-11 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 16 7 -
D. Jefferson 32 2-8 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 4 4 -2 -
K. Wilkinson 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -

* = starter