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2008-02-17

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 31.1% 68.9% -
Bradley-Terry 55.2% 44.8% -
Margin 55.1% 44.9% -1.1 (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 53.0% 47.0% -
Efficiency 91.1% 8.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.3% 20.7% -
Log Adjusted 79.5% 20.5% -

Actual: USC Trojans -10 (46-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Westbrook 38 2-11 0-1 3-6 5 2 2 0 0 7 5 -
D. Collison 37 5-11 0-2 4-5 1 0 2 0 1 14 5 -
J. Shipp 36 2-7 0-2 4-4 4 2 2 0 2 8 7 -
L. Mbah a Moute 33 5-11 0-1 0-2 10 2 0 0 2 10 9 -
K. Love 30 5-14 2-4 1-4 11 2 5 2 2 13 17 -
L. Mata-Real 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
A. Aboya 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 1 -
J. Keefe 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gibson 40 7-8 0-0 2-2 12 2 0 5 3 16 24 -
O.J. Mayo 40 2-8 0-4 0-0 9 3 0 0 10 4 -2 -
A. Johnson 40 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 2 -3 -
D. Lewis 40 6-11 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 0 1 16 7 -
D. Jefferson 32 2-8 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 1 4 4 -2 -
K. Wilkinson 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 4 4 -

* = starter