Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +17 (73-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.