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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Villanova Wildcats St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 75.4% 24.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 72.8% 27.2% - โœ“
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 โœ“ (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 82.6% 17.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 61.4% 38.6% - โœ“

Actual: St. John's Red Storm -18 (42-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Anderson 35 5-12 1-5 0-1 10 1 1 1 1 11 11 -
D. Cunningham 34 6-11 0-0 0-0 6 1 2 2 0 12 12 -
A. Pena 27 1-6 0-1 2-2 6 3 0 2 0 4 9 -
R. Redding 26 2-4 1-2 0-1 3 2 2 0 1 5 7 -
S. Reynolds 21 2-4 2-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 6 2 -
C. Stokes 18 4-7 3-5 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 13 12 -
M. Grant 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 2 -4 -
C. Fisher 15 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 5 2 -
C. Drummond 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
F. Tchuisi 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Burrell 37 1-7 0-0 4-5 4 1 0 2 3 6 3 -
A. Mason Jr. 33 5-11 1-4 1-2 9 1 0 0 1 12 10 -
M. Boothe 31 1-4 0-2 4-7 2 0 1 0 3 6 2 -
E. Lawrence 26 2-10 1-6 1-1 3 1 2 1 2 6 1 -
M. Cavataio 23 3-9 0-4 2-2 7 0 2 1 0 8 9 -
L. Wright 16 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -5 -
P. Horne 11 1-1 1-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 1 4 3 -
D.J. Kennedy 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Evans 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
D. Coker 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
T. Jasiulionis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter