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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 62.8% 37.2% -
Bradley-Terry 73.1% 26.9% -
Margin 80.6% 19.4% -7.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 54.1% 45.9% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 83.1% 16.9% -
Log Adjusted 83.2% 16.8% -

Actual: Providence Friars -8 (72-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 38 4-12 1-5 3-4 6 3 1 1 2 12 9 -
E. Clark 31 7-14 1-3 5-7 9 4 2 3 2 20 22 -
D. Padgett 25 3-3 0-0 5-7 6 4 0 1 3 11 16 -
J. Smith 23 4-7 2-4 1-2 3 1 2 0 1 11 9 -
E. Sosa 22 4-9 0-4 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 8 6 -
A. McGee 20 3-6 3-6 0-0 0 3 1 0 1 9 6 -
P. Knowles 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 4 0 1 4 5 -
D. Caracter 11 1-3 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Palacios 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 2 0 -
T. Farley 4 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. McDermott 37 5-14 0-0 8-12 7 4 2 0 5 18 12 -
B. McKenzie 33 4-8 3-5 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 13 7 -
J. Xavier 31 4-13 2-6 1-2 9 2 5 0 3 11 11 -
D. Williams 30 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 -1 -
R. Hanke 29 5-9 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 0 0 14 14 -
W. Efejuku 24 4-13 0-4 2-2 6 3 0 0 2 10 4 -
J. Kale 11 1-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 3 3 -
M. Brooks 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
C. Burch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter