Model Predictions
| Model | Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | Northwestern State Demons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.9% | 17.1% | -8.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northwestern State Demons -8 (59-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Alexander | 37 | 7-15 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| E. Bell | 37 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | - |
| G. Fonzie | 36 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Kingsley | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 8 | - |
| N. Shaw | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| E. Williams | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Akpan | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Weaver | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Jacobs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern State Demons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Gilder | 31 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| C.J. Clark | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Bargeman | 24 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| K. Hancock | 23 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Jones | 23 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| M. McConathy | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| J. Moody | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. White | 14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Knight | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Petravicius | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. McConathy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Porterie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter