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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Alcorn State Braves Spread Result
Elo 79.7% 20.3% -10.9 โœ— (13.9 off)
Bradley-Terry 72.4% 27.6% - โœ—
Margin 65.7% 34.3% -3.6 โœ— (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 62.4% 37.6% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 71.8% 28.2% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 71.4% 28.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 58.6% 41.4% - โœ—

Actual: Alcorn State Braves +3 (70-67). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stanford Speech 42 2-9 1-3 1-2 1 1 1 0 3 6 -3 -
Larry Cox 35 3-10 0-0 4-6 7 0 0 2 1 10 8 -
Michael Clark 35 2-7 0-1 0-2 0 1 1 1 2 4 -2 -
Dwayne Harmason 33 5-8 0-0 5-6 7 2 3 0 2 15 17 -
Chris Watson 31 7-9 3-4 3-7 13 1 1 0 2 20 24 -
Carl Lucas 24 4-7 1-1 3-4 5 0 0 0 4 12 6 -
Mike Davis 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 3 0 0 -
Eric Petty 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Michael Higgins 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Julius Love 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alcorn State Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alex Owumi 44 7-14 1-2 1-3 8 1 1 0 1 16 11 -
Troy Jackson 42 7-16 3-8 6-8 4 2 2 1 5 23 11 -
Anthony Ford 40 5-14 0-2 1-1 2 2 2 0 1 11 2 -
Jarvis Williams 25 3-9 1-2 3-4 3 0 0 0 1 10 3 -
J. Kendrick 25 3-7 0-0 1-1 8 0 1 0 4 7 5 -
Anthony Searcy 20 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 1 5 -
Jumane Reed 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Ramando Lyons 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Derrick Blackwell 7 0-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
Gifford Blakely 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Adrian Oliver 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter