Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Alabama A&M Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.5% | 30.5% | -4.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs -15 (70-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hayles | 36 | 8-13 | 5-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 23 | - |
| B. Brooks | 34 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Gordon | 30 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Lott Jr. | 23 | 4-14 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| R. Provitt | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Bosh | 17 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| R. Fitch | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Sanders | 11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| W. Mardis | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Kickingstallionsims | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hilton | 36 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| M. Gladness | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 9-12 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 17 | 24 | - |
| D. Jackson | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Simpson | 25 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 1-5 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 3 | - |
| J. Belt | 23 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| L. Smith | 23 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Williams | 22 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| K. Ogbara | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Porter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter