Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.4% | 64.6% | +3.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +6 (80-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Weems | 39 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| P. Beverley | 39 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| G. Ervin | 29 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Townes | 22 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| S. Hill | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| V. Hunter | 16 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| C. Thomas | 13 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -3 | - |
| S. Welsh | 13 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| M. Washington | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Stewart | 38 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 12 | - |
| J. Gordon | 35 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 7-9 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 13 | - |
| B. Hansbrough | 35 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Varnado | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 21 | - |
| C. Rhodes | 28 | 9-18 | 1-1 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 9 | - |
| E. Bailey | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Johnson | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Benock | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Turner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter