Model Predictions
| Model | Lamar Cardinals | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.5% | 35.5% | -3.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats -11 (90-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lamar Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Dawkins | 40 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 9-12 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 25 | - |
| D. Hopkins | 35 | 9-13 | 3-6 | 5-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| J. Nabors | 26 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 15 | - |
| C. Todd | 22 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| J. Brown | 21 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| L. Sanders | 18 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. McThay | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Worrell | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Hall | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Bush | 31 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 10 | - |
| M. Fullenwider | 30 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| B. Thomas | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Jefferson | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Benson | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 8-8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| R. White | 17 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| B. Holder | 14 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 5 | - |
| C. Johnson | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Sloan | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Moseley | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Gough | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter