Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.2% | 62.8% | +2.9 | ✓ (1.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.7% | 39.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.7% | 31.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Richardson | 36 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| O. Eldridge | 32 | 12-18 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 34 | 20 | - |
| E. Holloway | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | - |
| A. Slack | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| L. Dyer | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Odzic | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Sampay | 12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| A. Rubin | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Marshall | 35 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| G. Moore | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| M. Stinson | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 2 | - |
| A. Arnold | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| I. Martin | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 20 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 13 | - |
| A. Carter | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| T. McCoy | 9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| C. Holmstrom | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter