Model Predictions
| Model | Troy Trojans | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +25 (75-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.