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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Texas Longhorns Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% -
Bradley-Terry 34.9% 65.1% -
Margin 23.8% 76.2% +6.4 (11.4 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% -
Efficiency 90.7% 9.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.2% 11.8% -
Log Adjusted 88.4% 11.6% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -5 (77-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Augustin 40 2-12 1-6 3-6 6 10 0 0 2 8 10 -
J. Mason 40 5-10 1-5 1-2 9 3 1 0 1 12 14 -
D. James 35 8-15 1-2 2-3 10 2 0 2 1 19 17 -
G. Johnson 25 5-11 0-0 2-4 9 2 0 0 1 12 11 -
A.J. Abrams 23 4-7 3-5 2-4 0 0 1 0 2 13 5 -
C. Atchley 23 5-7 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 3 1 11 10 -
D. Pittman 8 2-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
C. Chapman 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Wangmene 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.D. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rogers 36 4-9 0-0 4-5 14 1 0 2 0 12 20 -
H. Dugat 33 7-13 2-6 3-4 3 1 0 0 0 19 10 -
L. Dunn 29 5-13 4-9 5-8 2 1 2 0 2 19 9 -
C. Jerrells 26 5-11 0-3 1-1 2 2 2 0 5 11 1 -
T. Carter 22 4-10 2-7 1-2 2 3 0 0 1 11 5 -
J. Lomers 18 2-3 0-0 1-1 4 0 0 2 0 5 8 -
A. Bruce 12 0-8 0-6 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -8 -
M. Shepherd 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Diene 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 0 3 -
D. Simpson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter