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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Vanderbilt Commodores Spread Result
Elo 41.2% 58.8% -
Bradley-Terry 59.6% 40.4% -
Margin 58.4% 41.6% -1.9 (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 39.0% 61.0% -
Efficiency 29.3% 70.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.5% 74.5% -
Log Adjusted 25.3% 74.7% -

Actual: Vanderbilt Commodores +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Hodge 35 4-7 0-1 2-2 1 5 2 0 1 10 10 -
N. Calathes 32 5-13 0-4 1-1 5 6 3 0 3 11 9 -
D. Werner 29 4-11 1-6 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 9 6 -
J. Lucas 29 2-7 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 6 -1 -
A. Tyus 25 3-7 0-0 1-2 9 0 1 0 2 7 8 -
M. Speights 21 3-8 0-0 5-6 3 0 0 2 0 11 8 -
C. Parsons 19 2-4 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
A. Allen 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 2 -

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Foster 35 7-16 3-9 2-2 6 1 0 0 0 19 10 -
A. Gordon 30 3-7 2-6 4-4 4 1 0 0 4 12 6 -
A.J. Ogilvy 29 5-11 0-0 2-2 8 1 2 1 3 12 10 -
J. Beal 28 0-5 0-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 1 -3 -
R. Neltner 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 2 0 0 5 8 -
K. Bell 22 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 3 3 -
D. McClellan 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 0 2 -
A. Walker 8 2-4 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 5 4 -
A. Metcalfe 7 2-3 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
G. Drake 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter