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2008-02-16

Model Predictions

Model Cornell Big Red Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 50.4% 49.6% -
Bradley-Terry 62.6% 37.4% -
Margin 57.4% 42.6% -1.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 74.7% 25.3% -
Efficiency 96.4% 3.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.5% 5.5% -
Log Adjusted 94.5% 5.5% -

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -10 (63-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cornell Big Red

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wittman 35 5-12 2-7 4-4 4 2 0 0 3 16 7 -
A. Tyler 31 2-5 0-0 7-7 4 4 1 1 1 11 15 -
A. Gore 31 5-7 3-5 0-0 3 3 3 0 2 13 13 -
J. Hartford 28 6-7 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 12 12 -
L. Dale 25 5-9 1-3 1-2 4 2 4 1 5 12 9 -
J. Foote 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 4 6 -
J. Battle 16 1-2 0-0 1-2 1 2 1 0 2 3 3 -
G. Reeves 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
A. Wilkins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Ball 32 6-11 0-0 1-1 6 5 2 0 3 13 12 -
E. Fitzgerald 30 7-13 0-0 3-4 7 1 0 3 2 17 13 -
D. Mosley 29 7-13 4-7 0-0 4 1 2 0 3 18 9 -
C. Weeden 28 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 2 3 -
B. Ware 21 0-2 0-0 5-6 0 2 1 0 1 5 5 -
M. Giovacchini 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
M. Sanders 16 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 0 1 -
R. Pride 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
K. Graeber 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Dixon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter